This Was the Foundation. December Recap.
December was the switch-flip.
No hype cycle.
No grandstanding.
Just systems, trends, and logged outcomes.
Since dialing this in (Dec. 19–Dec. 31, 2025):
36–22 (62.1% win rate)
Before anyone misframes those numbers; because transparency isn’t optional - some ground rules:
- These were system plays only
- Built purely off trend-based structure
- Not personal opinions or “feel” bets
- Several days had no plays at all by design
That last point matters.
If the system doesn’t qualify, nothing gets forced.
Volume for the sake of volume is how edges decay.
December wasn’t flawless. We had two days where this could’ve gone sideways - Dec. 30 was one of them. But the response mattered more than the result. We closed the year with a 3–1 bounce-back on New Year’s Eve, which is exactly how a disciplined process is supposed to behave.
From day one, the positioning has been clear:
I’m not a capper.
I’m not selling picks.
This is pure, data-driven intel.
And candidly? At $10/month, this system is already delivering more actionable market context than most standalone accounts screaming plays into the void. You know who they are.
No parlays.
No locks.
No ego.
Just trends, structure, and logged results.
Appreciate everyone who rode through the launch phase. This was the foundation.
2026 is where we scale, refine, and separate.
Happy New Year!
Let’s keep building.
Yesterday’s Results
Ohio State vs Miami | UNDER 42.5 ✅ (CASHED)
Final: Miami 24, Ohio State 14 (38 total)
This was never in danger.
- Playoff games compress by design
- Early defensive TD inflated perception, not pace
- Once Miami gained leverage, tempo died
- Ohio State never accessed desperation mode
This is the strongest Under subtype in the market: elite defenses, shortened prep, downside protection.
📌 Pure structure. No sweat.
Duke vs Arizona State | OVER 47.5 ✅ (CASHED)
Final: Duke 42, Arizona State 39 (81 total)
This was a pricing lag. Full stop.
- Low totals + bowl attrition = oxygen
- Penalties extended drives exactly as modeled
- Personnel loss broke defensive continuity
1,158 total yards isn’t variance.
It’s a number that never caught up.
📌 Textbook low-cap mispricing.
Devils vs Blue Jackets | UNDER 6.5 ✅ (CASHED)
Final: New Jersey 3, Columbus 2 (5 goals)
Fatigue sanded this game down exactly as expected.
- Road back-to-back killed execution
- Power-play efficiency degraded
- Once New Jersey took control, both benches protected downside
6.5 stays inflated because it feels normal.
Structure says otherwise.
📌 Classic NHL Under environment.
Vanderbilt vs Iowa | UNDER 49.5 ❌ (Loss)
Final: Iowa 34, Vanderbilt 27 (61 total)
Let’s be precise.
Everything the thesis required did show up:
- Pace suppression was present
- Extended drives dominated game flow
- The late 7-minute FG drive was textbook model behavior
This didn’t miss because of volume.
It missed because of efficiency spikes.
Explosives beat compression. Short fields and high-leverage conversions overrode what was otherwise a slow, grind-heavy profile.
Key takeaway:
- Structure was correct
- Failure point was conversion rate, not snap count
- This is a structural loss, not a system leak
📌 Logged. Isolated. Moved on.
Bottom Line
3–1 on the slate.
The loss didn’t disprove the framework.
It defined the variance boundary.
We don’t hide it.
We sequence it correctly.
And we move forward with structure intact.
On to the next board.