THE BROADWAY BRIEF | December 21, 2025

Where Structure Beats Perception

The board on Sunday isn’t about who looked good last week or which teams are “rolling.” It’s about pricing errors created by comfort, recency, and narrative gravity.

Late in the season, the market gets lazy. Winning streaks get taxed. Blowouts get over-punished. Defensive performances get waved off as flukes. Road underdogs get priced like they’re trying to survive, not cover.

We’re not here to chase outcomes.
We’re here to trade misalignment.

Below are the structural profiles shaping this slate across the NFL and NBA.