THE BROADWAY BRIEF | December 20, 2025

Tonight’s board isn’t about who looked sharp last game or which team is “hot.”
It’s about structure, timing, and where the market hasn’t adjusted yet.

Late in the season, incentives shift. Pace gives way to control. Recovery matters more than raw talent. Familiar opponents compress scoring. Short rest quietly kills margin.

Meanwhile, public narratives: win streaks, blowouts, overtime wins keep getting priced as momentum when they’re really just volatility in disguise.

Across the NFL, NBA, NHL, and college football, the same inefficiencies keep surfacing:

• Totals priced for tempo that never appears
• Spreads priced for continuity that rest won’t allow
• Home advantage overvalued in fatigue spots
• Road sides discounted despite intent and structure

This Brief isn’t about chasing form.
It’s about identifying where the market is late and letting structure do the work.

Let the market trade noise.
We’ll trade edges.